Forex Technical Analysis:WTI Crude Pushing Towards Wave (2) Flat Near 66.50

Bottom line:  WTI Crude pushes above 63.33 resistances but overall bearish structure still…

Bottom line:  WTI Crude pushes above 63.33 resistances but overall bearish structure still remains intact as it moves towards a potential flat.

Technical Analysis:

WTI Crude pushed above the 63.33 mark last week, nullifying the triangle count. At the moment, a standard or a running flat structure is expected to work out. In case of a standard flat, we would witness a further push towards 66.58 levels at least; while in case of a running flat, prices may reverse from current highs at 65.00 respectively. The overall wave structure still remains constructive for bears with an impulse drop between 76.88 and 42.40 still intact; labelled as Wave (1). As discussed earlier, corrective phase could be more complicated at times to identify potential patterns, since it could be a flat or triangle or zigzag or a combination. Objectively ruling out the others, a flat could be the most probable with price range around 65-66.50/67.00 respectively. To simplify the above corrective phase, we have re-labelled as an A-B- and potential C in the making around 65-66.50 levels, before Wave (2) could terminate. If the above structure holds well, prices should ideally stay below 69.50, and push lower towards 42.40 as Wave (3) progresses. Resistance for a potential Wave (2) termination could be seen around 66.90 levels and a bearish reversal can be expected. Alternately, if prices manage to push through 69.50 (probabilities are remote), the above bearish structure could be nullified. At the moment, a high probable trade direction could be lower from around 66.50-67.00 zone, against 69.50, with potential towards 42.40 in the coming weeks and months. A break below 60.66 which is initial price support, would confirm that a meaningful top is in place and that WTI Crude is heading lower again. A more conservative trading approach is to allow a break below 60.50 and then initiate short positions on corrective rallies thereafter.

Prepared by

Harsh Japee, Technical Analyst.

 

WTI Crude Chart

 


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